so we have the real risk, steve, of going into a double-digit recession now. we need to do, therefore, the following and it's a very careful balance. first we need a short-term stimulus by a payroll tax, holiday or a substantial reduction in employer and employee payroll taxes. second, we've had these continuing impasses on the debt limit. we just went through this over the summer and only put a band-aid on it. you know, winston churchill said the american people always do the right thing after they've exhausted all alternatives. we've now exhausted all alternatives. this could be the shock that gets us to a deficit reduction package. now, mind you, it needs to be a long-term one in impact. if we were to do that immediately now, it would send a terrifically positive signal to the market that finally this crisis brought us to a genuine deficit reduction, long-term package dealing with our structural deficits, putting entitlements and tax revenues on the table. and third,and the third is the s part. china, which has always been hoping that their own currency cou